Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -1.5 | 92% |
| Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| Spread -3.5 | 88% |
| Spread -8.5 | 87% |
| Spread -4.5 | 86% |
| Spread -5.5 | 85% |
| O/U 37.5 | 85% |
| Spread -6.5 | 83% |
| O/U 35.5 | 83% |
| Spread -7.5 | 79% |
| South Florida O/U 23.5 | 78% |
| Spread -9.5 | 76% |
| Spread -10.5 | 74% |
| South Florida O/U 32.5 | 74% |
| Spread -11.5 | 72% |
| O/U 39.5 | 70% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 70% |
| Spread -13.5 | 69% |
| Spread -12.5 | 69% |
| Spread -14.5 | 64% |
| O/U 41.5 | 64% |
| Spread -15.5 | 64% |
| Spread -16.5 | 61% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 60% |
| O/U 43.5 | 59% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 59% |
| South Florida O/U 29.5 | 58% |
| South Florida O/U 26.5 | 57% |
| Spread -18.5 | 57% |
| Spread -17.5 | 56% |
| Spread -19.5 | 55% |
| O/U 45.5 | 54% |
| Spread -37.5 | 53% |
| Spread -20.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| South Florida O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Kent State O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| South Florida O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kent State O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Kent State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kent State vs. South Florida: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Kent State vs. South Florida: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kent State vs. South Florida: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Kent State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Kent State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Kent State vs. South Florida: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kent State vs. South Florida: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kent State vs. South Florida: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -40.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 49% |
| Kent State O/U 29.5 | 48% |
| Spread -21.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 46% |
| O/U 47.5 | 45% |
| Spread -22.5 | 44% |
| Spread -34.5 | 42% |
| O/U 49.5 | 41% |
| South Florida O/U 35.5 | 41% |
| Spread -23.5 | 41% |
| Spread -24.5 | 38% |
| O/U 51.5 | 35% |
| Spread -25.5 | 34% |
| Spread -26.5 | 34% |
| Spread -27.5 | 32% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 28% |
| Kent State O/U 32.5 | 25% |
| Spread -30.5 | 25% |
| O/U 57.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 21% |
| O/U 61.5 | 20% |
| Kent State O/U 20.5 | 19% |
| Spread -28.5 | 19% |
| Spread -33.5 | 19% |
| O/U 53.5 | 17% |
| O/U 55.5 | 17% |
| Spread -36.5 | 13% |
| O/U 59.5 | 12% |
| 1H Moneyline | 11% |
| O/U 63.5 | 10% |
| Kent State vs. South Florida | 9% |
| Spread -0.5 | 9% |
| O/U 65.5 | 8% |
| O/U 67.5 | 8% |
| Spread -1.5 | 6% |
| O/U 69.5 | 6% |
| O/U 71.5 | 5% |
| O/U 73.5 | 5% |
Market context
Kent State vs. South Florida. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 9% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-17T23:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $122K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Kent State vs. South Florida. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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