Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 31.5 | 92% |
| O/U 33.5 | 90% |
| O/U 35.5 | 86% |
| O/U 37.5 | 83% |
| O/U 39.5 | 80% |
| Kansas O/U 16.5 | 75% |
| O/U 41.5 | 74% |
| Missouri O/U 21.5 | 73% |
| Missouri O/U 22.5 | 72% |
| O/U 43.5 | 71% |
| Kansas O/U 17.5 | 69% |
| Missouri O/U 23.5 | 69% |
| Missouri vs. Kansas | 67% |
| Spread -0.5 | 66% |
| Kansas O/U 19.5 | 66% |
| O/U 45.5 | 65% |
| Spread -1.5 | 64% |
| Missouri O/U 24.5 | 62% |
| 1H Moneyline | 62% |
| Spread -2.5 | 61% |
| O/U 47.5 | 61% |
| Kansas O/U 20.5 | 61% |
| Missouri O/U 25.5 | 61% |
| Kansas O/U 0.5 | 60% |
| Missouri O/U 26.5 | 59% |
| O/U 49.5 | 57% |
| Missouri O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 56% |
| Missouri O/U 27.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 55% |
| O/U 50.5 | 54% |
| Kansas O/U 2.5 | 54% |
| Kansas O/U 22.5 | 53% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Spread -4.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| Isaiah Marshall: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Malae Fonoti: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Micah Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Jude James: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| DaMarion Fowlkes: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Missouri O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Austin Simmons: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cayden Lee: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Carson Bruhn: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nahzae Cox: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Xai'Shaun Edwards: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brett Norfleet: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jalen Dupree: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Keaton Kubecka: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Naeshaun Montgomery: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jalen Butler: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Caleb Goodie: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Donald Collier: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Bryson Hayes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Shaun Terry II: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jordon Harris: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Missouri 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Kansas 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| O/U 51.5 | 49% |
| Kansas O/U 23.5 | 49% |
| Kansas 1H O/U 10.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| Missouri O/U 28.5 | 48% |
| Missouri O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Missouri O/U 29.5 | 47% |
| Spread -6.5 | 46% |
| Kansas O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| O/U 53.5 | 45% |
| Missouri O/U 2.5 | 45% |
| Jamal Roberts: Anytime Touchdown | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| Kansas O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| Missouri O/U 30.5 | 42% |
| O/U 55.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 41% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Spread: Missouri (-7.5) | 40% |
| Kansas O/U 25.5 | 40% |
| Donovan Olugbode: Anytime Touchdown | 39% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| Spread -8.5 | 38% |
| Dylan Edwards: Anytime Touchdown | 38% |
| Kansas O/U 26.5 | 38% |
| Yasin Willis: Anytime Touchdown | 37% |
| Missouri O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Nik McMillan: Anytime Touchdown | 36% |
| Missouri O/U 31.5 | 36% |
| Spread -10.5 | 35% |
| Spread -34.5 | 35% |
| Missouri O/U 32.5 | 35% |
| O/U 57.5 | 34% |
| Missouri O/U 33.5 | 33% |
| O/U 59.5 | 31% |
| Spread -13.5 | 28% |
| Kansas O/U 28.5 | 28% |
| Missouri O/U 34.5 | 28% |
| O/U 61.5 | 27% |
| Kansas O/U 29.5 | 27% |
| Spread -14.5 | 26% |
| Kansas O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Missouri O/U 35.5 | 25% |
| Spread -16.5 | 23% |
| O/U 63.5 | 21% |
| Spread -17.5 | 20% |
| O/U 65.5 | 20% |
| Spread -20.5 | 15% |
| Spread -21.5 | 14% |
| O/U 67.5 | 14% |
| O/U 69.5 | 13% |
| O/U 71.5 | 12% |
| Spread -24.5 | 9% |
| Spread -27.5 | 5% |
| Spread -31.5 | 4% |
Market context
The Missouri vs. Kansas prediction market currently prices this outcome at 92% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Missouri and Kansas, scheduled for September 11 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Missouri" if Missouri win the game. This market will resolve to…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $159K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Missouri vs. Kansas. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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