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New Mexico State vs. Hawai'i

How the prediction market is pricing "New Mexico State vs. Hawai'i" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

1Q Spread -0.5 100% 1Q Spread -1.5 100% 1Q Spread -2.5 100% 1H O/U 18.5 100% Volume: $307K Liquidity: $391K Closes: 13 Sept 2026
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New Mexico State vs. Hawai'i

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1H O/U 18.5100%
1H O/U 21.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q O/U 4.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 8.5100%
2Q O/U 11.5100%
O/U 34.597%
O/U 40.596%
1H O/U 24.592%
O/U 30.591%
1H Spread -1.591%
1H Spread -2.591%
1H Spread -3.591%
1H Spread -4.591%
1H Spread -5.591%
2Q Moneyline91%
New Mexico State 1H O/U 8.591%
New Mexico State 1H O/U 10.591%
New Mexico State 1H O/U 12.591%
Hawai'i 1H O/U 12.591%
Hawai'i 1H O/U 14.591%
Hawai'i 1H O/U 16.591%
New Mexico State 1H O/U 7.591%
New Mexico State 1H O/U 9.591%
New Mexico State 1H O/U 11.591%
1H Spread -0.591%
1H O/U 27.591%
1H O/U 30.591%
2Q Spread -1.591%
2Q O/U 14.591%
2Q O/U 17.591%
2Q O/U 20.591%
O/U 46.585%
Spread -1.581%
O/U 49.576%
Spread -2.576%
O/U 50.574%
Spread -3.571%
Spread -4.571%
O/U 51.570%
Spread -5.566%
O/U 52.566%
Spread -6.562%
O/U 54.557%
Spread -7.556%
Spread -18.556%
Hawai'i O/U 3.551%
Spread -9.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -31.550%
Spread -34.550%
O/U 32.550%
O/U 36.550%
O/U 38.550%
O/U 42.550%
O/U 44.550%
O/U 48.550%
O/U 56.550%
O/U 60.550%
O/U 62.550%
O/U 66.550%
O/U 68.550%
2H Moneyline50%
New Mexico State O/U 2.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
New Mexico State O/U 14.550%
New Mexico State O/U 17.550%
New Mexico State O/U 20.550%
New Mexico State O/U 23.550%
New Mexico State O/U 26.550%
Hawai'i O/U 22.550%
Hawai'i O/U 25.550%
Hawai'i O/U 28.550%
Hawai'i O/U 31.550%
Hawai'i O/U 34.550%
2H Spread -6.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
Hawai'i O/U 23.550%
Hawai'i O/U 26.550%
Hawai'i O/U 29.550%
Hawai'i O/U 32.550%
Hawai'i O/U 35.550%
New Mexico State 2H O/U 7.550%
New Mexico State 2H O/U 9.550%
New Mexico State 2H O/U 11.550%
Hawai'i 2H O/U 11.550%
Hawai'i 2H O/U 13.550%
Hawai'i 2H O/U 15.550%
Spread -12.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -12.550%
Spread -15.550%
Spread -22.550%
Spread -25.550%
Spread -28.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
2H O/U 18.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q O/U 4.550%
3Q O/U 7.550%
3Q O/U 10.550%
3Q O/U 13.550%
3Q O/U 16.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q O/U 7.550%
4Q O/U 10.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
4Q O/U 19.550%
DeVon Rice: Anytime Touchdown50%
James Jones: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tama Uiliata: Anytime Touchdown50%
Devin Alves: Anytime Touchdown50%
Audric Harris: Anytime Touchdown50%
Trey Hedden: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tyler King: Anytime Touchdown50%
Blaze Kamoku: Anytime Touchdown50%
Micah Alejado: Anytime Touchdown50%
Terrell Washington Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Carson Brown: Anytime Touchdown50%
Dijon Stanley: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kainoa Carvalho: Anytime Touchdown50%
Josiah Fetui: Anytime Touchdown50%
TJ Pride: Anytime Touchdown50%
Lyndon Ravare: Anytime Touchdown50%
Josiah Thomas: Anytime Touchdown50%
Terrione Graves: Anytime Touchdown50%
O/U 58.548%
Spread -10.546%
Spread -11.545%
Spread -13.537%
Spread -14.534%
Spread -16.526%
Spread -17.524%
O/U 64.523%
New Mexico State vs. Hawai'i18%
Spread -20.514%
Spread -2.513%
Spread -21.512%
O/U 70.512%
1H Moneyline10%
2Q Spread -1.510%
2Q Spread -2.510%
2Q Spread -3.510%
2Q Spread -4.510%
2Q Spread -5.510%
2Q Spread -0.510%
1H Spread -6.510%
1H Spread -7.510%
Spread -24.58%
Spread -5.57%
Spread -27.55%
Spread -6.55%
Spread -9.54%
1Q Moneyline0%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%

Market context

New Mexico State vs. Hawai'i — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between New Mexico State and Hawai'i, scheduled for September 13 at 12:00AM ET: This market will resolve to "New Mexico State" if New Mexico State win the game. T…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1Q Spread -0.5 at 100% for "New Mexico State vs. Hawai'i".

1Q Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $307K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for New Mexico State vs. Hawai'i. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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