Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Houston 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Houston 1H O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| Houston 1H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 97% |
| Spread -2.5 | 97% |
| Spread -4.5 | 97% |
| Spread -3.5 | 96% |
| Spread -5.5 | 95% |
| O/U 36.5 | 94% |
| O/U 34.5 | 91% |
| O/U 38.5 | 91% |
| O/U 42.5 | 91% |
| Oregon State O/U 8.5 | 91% |
| Oregon State O/U 11.5 | 91% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 4.5 | 91% |
| Oregon State O/U 7.5 | 91% |
| Oregon State O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 5.5 | 91% |
| Spread -6.5 | 90% |
| Spread -7.5 | 89% |
| Spread -10.5 | 86% |
| Spread -13.5 | 68% |
| Spread -14.5 | 65% |
| O/U 48.5 | 64% |
| O/U 50.5 | 56% |
| O/U 49.5 | 56% |
| Spread -16.5 | 56% |
| Spread -17.5 | 55% |
| O/U 51.5 | 53% |
| O/U 52.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| O/U 68.5 | 50% |
| O/U 70.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Houston O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Oregon State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Houston O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Conner Weigman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Makhi Hughes: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Amare Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Re'Shaun Sanford II: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cornell Hatcher Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Trent Walker: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| AJ Newberry: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Patrick Overmyer: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Koby Young: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Eddie Freauff: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Braden Atkinson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Aeryn Hampton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Aaron Butler: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Eric Olsen: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Muizz Tounkara: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Xavyion Noland: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| DeCorion Temple: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jesse Legree: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Harvey Broussard: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Luke McGary: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tyson Turner: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| O/U 60.5 | 38% |
| O/U 54.5 | 36% |
| Spread -31.5 | 35% |
| Spread -34.5 | 35% |
| Spread: Houston (-20.5) | 29% |
| Spread -21.5 | 23% |
| Spread -24.5 | 19% |
| Spread -27.5 | 12% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| O/U 66.5 | 5% |
| Oregon State vs. Houston | 1% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Houston 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Houston 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Houston 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Houston 1H O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Oregon State 1H O/U 9.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to oregon state vs. houston. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 12:00PM ET: If Oregon State wins, the market will resolve to "Oregon State". If Houston wins, the market will resolve to "Houston". …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $110K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Oregon State vs. Houston. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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