Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 27.5 | 93% |
| Spread -0.5 | 92% |
| Spread -1.5 | 92% |
| Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| O/U 29.5 | 90% |
| Spread -3.5 | 89% |
| Spread -4.5 | 87% |
| Spread -5.5 | 86% |
| O/U 31.5 | 85% |
| Spread -6.5 | 84% |
| O/U 33.5 | 84% |
| Spread -7.5 | 80% |
| Spread -8.5 | 79% |
| O/U 35.5 | 79% |
| Wisconsin O/U 6.5 | 79% |
| Notre Dame O/U 25.5 | 78% |
| Notre Dame O/U 26.5 | 77% |
| Spread -10.5 | 76% |
| O/U 37.5 | 75% |
| Notre Dame O/U 27.5 | 73% |
| Spread -13.5 | 72% |
| O/U 39.5 | 70% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 68% |
| Spread -14.5 | 67% |
| Notre Dame O/U 28.5 | 67% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 67% |
| Wisconsin O/U 7.5 | 66% |
| Notre Dame O/U 29.5 | 66% |
| Spread -16.5 | 65% |
| Wisconsin O/U 9.5 | 64% |
| O/U 41.5 | 63% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 63% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 63% |
| Notre Dame O/U 30.5 | 62% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 62% |
| Spread -17.5 | 61% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 60% |
| O/U 43.5 | 59% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 57% |
| Spread -20.5 | 56% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 55% |
| Notre Dame O/U 31.5 | 55% |
| Notre Dame O/U 32.5 | 55% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| Wisconsin O/U 10.5 | 54% |
| O/U 45.5 | 53% |
| Notre Dame O/U 33.5 | 53% |
| Wisconsin 1H O/U 6.5 | 53% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 52% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 52% |
| 2H Moneyline | 51% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 51% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Wisconsin 1H O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Wisconsin 1H O/U 8.5 | 51% |
| Wisconsin 2H O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Wisconsin 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Wisconsin O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Notre Dame O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Wisconsin O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Wisconsin O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Wisconsin O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Wisconsin O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Notre Dame O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Notre Dame O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 18.5 | 51% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| Wisconsin 2H O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Wisconsin 2H O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Cam Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Wisconsin 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| Nolan James Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| James Flanigan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Wisconsin O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Wisconsin 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| Notre Dame O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 17.5 | 48% |
| O/U 47.5 | 46% |
| Wisconsin O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 43% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 42% |
| Notre Dame O/U 35.5 | 41% |
| Spread -24.5 | 40% |
| O/U 49.5 | 40% |
| Notre Dame O/U 36.5 | 39% |
| Aneyas Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 39% |
| Notre Dame O/U 37.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 37% |
| Spread -27.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 36% |
| O/U 51.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 35% |
| Wisconsin O/U 15.5 | 34% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Wisconsin O/U 16.5 | 32% |
| Notre Dame O/U 39.5 | 31% |
| O/U 53.5 | 30% |
| Notre Dame O/U 38.5 | 30% |
| Notre Dame O/U 40.5 | 28% |
| O/U 55.5 | 26% |
| Kedren Young: Anytime Touchdown | 26% |
| Wisconsin O/U 18.5 | 24% |
| Spread -31.5 | 23% |
| O/U 57.5 | 23% |
| Wisconsin O/U 19.5 | 23% |
| Jordan Faison: Anytime Touchdown | 23% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| Spread -34.5 | 19% |
| Cooper Flanagan: Anytime Touchdown | 19% |
| Colton Joseph: Anytime Touchdown | 18% |
| CJ Carr: Anytime Touchdown | 17% |
| Abu Sama III: Anytime Touchdown | 17% |
| O/U 59.5 | 16% |
| O/U 61.5 | 16% |
| Jaden Greathouse: Anytime Touchdown | 15% |
| Mylan Graham: Anytime Touchdown | 15% |
| Micah Gilbert: Anytime Touchdown | 15% |
| Darrion Dupree: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| O/U 63.5 | 12% |
| 1H Moneyline | 12% |
| Eugene Hilton Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 11% |
| O/U 65.5 | 10% |
| Chris Brooks Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 9% |
| Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame | 8% |
| O/U 67.5 | 8% |
| Jacob Harris: Anytime Touchdown | 8% |
| Jaylon Domingeaux: Anytime Touchdown | 8% |
| Matt Jeffery: Anytime Touchdown | 8% |
| Elijah Burress: Anytime Touchdown | 8% |
| Tyrell Henry: Anytime Touchdown | 8% |
| Malachi Coleman: Anytime Touchdown | 7% |
| Shamar Rigby: Anytime Touchdown | 5% |
| Ryan Schwendeman: Anytime Touchdown | 4% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 93% probability to wisconsin vs. notre dame. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 6 at 7:30PM ET: If Wisconsin wins, the market will resolve to "Wisconsin". If Notre Dame wins, the market will resolve to "Notre Dame". I…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $107K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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