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Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Rapid Wien - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Rapid Wien - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% O/U 3.5 100% Volume: $72K Closes: 20 Aug 2026
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Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Rapid Wien - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 0.5100%
Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 1.5100%
SK Rapid Wien O/U 0.5100%
SK Rapid Wien O/U 1.5100%
SK Rapid Wien 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 2.5100%
Heart of Midlothian FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Heart of Midlothian FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
SK Rapid Wien 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)0%
SK Rapid Wien (-1.5)0%
Heart of Midlothian FC (-2.5)0%
SK Rapid Wien (-2.5)0%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 2.50%
SK Rapid Wien O/U 2.50%
Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
SK Rapid Wien 1st Half O/U 1.50%
SK Rapid Wien 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Heart of Midlothian host Rapid Wien in the Europa Conference League play-off, with the market still pricing a goalless outcome despite both clubs carrying recent scoring form. Hearts came in off a 6-2 cup win over Inverness and a 1-1 draw with Benfica in Europe, while Rapid had scored eight in a league win over Grazer AK and had already beaten Paide 2-0 in qualifying[10].

The historical read is that this is a tight, high-variance tie rather than a one-sided mismatch. Hearts have mixed in heavy losses and productive home performances across August, while Rapid’s results have been stronger overall but still came against opponents of varying level; that makes early goals, rather than pre-match reputations, the main driver for any “more markets” pricing. With a 0% YES line, the market is effectively assuming a very specific low-event script, which is a fragile position in a qualifier where one goal can quickly open the game[10][8].

The main catalysts are team news and confirmed line-ups close to kick-off. Hearts were missing Malachi Fagan-Walcott, Stephen Kingsley, Craig Halkett and Eduardo Ageu, while Rapid had several absentees listed as Dominic Vincze, Martin Ndzie, Daniel Nunoo, Claudy Mbuyi and Andrija Radulovic, all of which can affect defensive structure and attacking depth[1][5]. BBC Sport had the match at Tynecastle listed for 19:45 local time, so the sharpest moves were likely to come after team sheets and any late change to the available centre-halves or forward options[4].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Rapid Wien - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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