Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
53% | 47% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
53% | 47% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred: MI London vs Trent Rockets - Completed match? | 53% |
| The Hundred: MI London vs Trent Rockets | 0% |
| The Hundred: MI London vs Trent Rockets - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
MI London and Trent Rockets meet at The Kia Oval, with the market sitting at 0% YES despite the sides being closely matched on recent Hundred form. Trent Rockets arrived top of the table after a run of wins, and their latest completed result against MI London was a six-wicket chase built around Mitch Santner’s unbeaten 52 and Tim David’s finishing support.[1][4][5]
The recent head-to-head pattern is not one-way, though. ESPN’s match log shows MI London beating Trent Rockets in both the 2025 and 2024 editions, including tight finishes at 168/5 versus 142/8 and 173/4 versus 171/7, which is a useful reminder that this pairing has often swung on a single late partnership rather than sustained dominance.[11] Earlier in the competition, Trent Rockets also beat London Spirit in a chase of 160 at Trent Bridge, reinforcing their ability to close out high-pressure run chases in the format.[3]
For traders, the key catalysts are team news and toss information rather than broad tournament trends. Current live coverage shows Trent Rockets won the toss and chose to field, which immediately matters in a format where chasing has been viable at the Oval.[6][7] Sky Sports also notes the tournament runs through 16 August, so squad management and any rotation across the final league fixtures remain relevant, particularly if either side is protecting players or responding to late fitness updates.[9] MI London’s recent batting core has centred on Will Jacks and Sam Curran, while Trent Rockets have leaned on Ben Duckett’s form and a strong bowling group, so any change to those names would move expectations quickly.[9][11]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $154K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for The Hundred: MI London vs Trent Rockets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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