Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
9% | 91% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
9% | 91% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Market context
Ireland Women face West Indies Women in the third ODI of their three-match series in Bready today, with the visitors already leading 1–0 after winning the first two fixtures. The market’s 9% YES probability for an Ireland win reflects a stark historical imbalance: West Indies have won 10 of the 12 previous Women’s ODIs between the sides, with Ireland claiming just one victory and one match ending without a result[1][2]. This pattern mirrors recent encounters, including three consecutive losses for Ireland in West Indies’ 2023 tour and a narrow 1-run DLS defeat in a T20 earlier this year, underscoring the Caribbean side’s dominance in 50-over cricket against the hosts[3][5].
Traders should monitor Ireland’s injury list, which excludes experienced players Laura Delany, Arlene Kelly, and Ava Canning, weakening their batting depth ahead of this decisive match[1]. Key performers to watch include Ireland captain Gaby Lewis (43.40 average) and Amy Hunter (45.11 average), versus West Indies’ Hayley Matthews, who averages 54.44 across 10 ODIs[5]. The series outcome is already decided, but this final game may influence momentum for both teams ahead of future Women’s Championship fixtures. No new suspensions or lineup changes have been reported as of today, though weather conditions in Bready could impact play[1][7].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $155K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for ODI Series Ireland vs West Indies, Women: Ireland vs West Indies. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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