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Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs

"Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

O/U 2.5 Games 72% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5) 54% Map 2 Winner 52% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) 50% Volume: $350K Liquidity: $125K Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
72% 28% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
72% 28% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 2.5 Games72%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)54%
Map 2 Winner52%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alliance (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-9.5) vs Alliance (+9.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)45%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.539%
Match Winner34%
Map 1 Winner19%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: alliance vs team nemesis (bo3) - xse pro league playoffs stands at 72% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Alliance and Team Nemesis in the XSE Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 9 at 7:00AM ET. This m…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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