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Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs

"Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Map Handicap: JS (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Johnny Speeds (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Johnny Speeds (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5) 90% Volume: $103K Liquidity: $293K Closes: 4 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: JS (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Johnny Speeds (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Johnny Speeds (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Johnny Speeds (-6.5) vs G2 Ares (+6.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Johnny Speeds (-9.5) vs G2 Ares (+9.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map Handicap: G2.A (-1.5) vs Johnny Speeds (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Johnny Speeds (-6.5) vs G2 Ares (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Johnny Speeds (-9.5) vs G2 Ares (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: g2 ares vs johnny speeds (bo3) - stake pulse beat i playoffs stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between G2 Ares and Johnny Speeds in the Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 4 at 4:00AM ET. …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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