Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The MongolZ meet Liquid in a CS Asia Championships lower-bracket semifinal BO3 in Shanghai, with advancement now the only path for both teams after earlier group-stage losses. The market’s 100% lean to The MongolZ reflects the shape of the matchup rather than a certainty: their recent form has been stronger, including a 13-3 win over Lynn Vision, and they also own the clearer head-to-head edge from the last meeting on 22 March, when they beat Liquid 2-0. Public results databases show The MongolZ have taken all seven of the sides’ recorded meetings, which helps explain why the price has stayed heavily one-sided.

For traders, the main variables are veto order, map availability and whether Liquid can force the series into their better spots early. Recent market notes around The MongolZ have pointed to Nuke, Mirage and Inferno as important battlegrounds, while Liquid’s chances improve if they can avoid conceding momentum on the opening map. The short turnaround inside the GSL schedule also matters, especially if either side has just played a taxing series; YouTube coverage from the event shows The MongolZ already in live group-stage action against B8, underlining the pace of the schedule. Any late roster confirmation or sign of illness, substitution or travel disruption would matter more than usual in a short BO3 window.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.