Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: RE (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Rune Eaters and Bushido Wildcats are due to meet in a best-of-three at CCT Europe Series #3 Group D, with the market currently treating the result as effectively settled. That looks out of line with the available team signals: GosuGamers lists Rune Eaters around world rank 130 and Bushido Wildcats around 117, while Strafe has Rune Eaters at roughly #183 and Bushido Wildcats unranked, so the two sides are not separated by a decisive class gap. Strafe’s match page also shows a fresh form split of 1 win in 5 for Rune Eaters and 2 wins in 5 for Bushido Wildcats, plus no prior head-to-head between them, which means there is little historical evidence to support a near-certain read.
For traders, the main catalysts are whether the match completes inside the scheduled window and whether either line-up changes before map veto. The fixture was listed for 17:00 UTC on 21 May on GosuGamers and Sofascore, so any delay, administrative pause, or rescheduling beyond seven days would matter more here than in a routine online series. Dust2.us also had the game on its CCT Europe Series 3 closed qualifier page, which is useful for confirming whether the contest is actually played and finished; with no injury or suspension news attached to either roster in the search results, late team-sheet confirmation and server start time are the key variables rather than player absences.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →