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Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? 69% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 58% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 57% Any Player Ultra Kill 55% Volume: $113K Liquidity: $739K Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?69%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?58%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?57%
Any Player Ultra Kill55%
Match Winner53%
Game 1 Winner52%
Game 2 Winner52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
First Blood in Game 2?52%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan44%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?42%
Both Teams Beat Roshan35%
Both Teams Beat Roshan35%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks35%
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)28%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks28%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks28%
Any Player Ultra Kill27%
Any Player Ultra Kill25%
Any Player Rampage17%
Any Player Rampage10%
Any Player Rampage8%

Market context

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 69%. This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket round 1 match between Team Liquid and Team Falcons in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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