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Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

"Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 100% Ends in Daytime 90% Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? 90% Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? 90% Volume: $441K Liquidity: $598K Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100%
Ends in Daytime90%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?90%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Game 2 Winner32%
Any Player Rampage23%
Match Winner14%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?10%
Game 1 Winner0%

Market context

Team Nemesis faces Vici Gaming in a Best of 2 Group C clash at the Esports World Cup 2026, with the match scheduled for 14:00 UTC today. The 0% crowd-implied probability for Nemesis reflects a stark disparity in recent form and historical dominance; Vici has won two of their three prior encounters, including a 3–2 victory in the PGL Wallachia Grand Final just months ago, while Nemesis has secured only one win in their last five matches and sits at world ranking #23 compared to VG’s #15 [1]. Strafe users overwhelmingly favour Vici with an 82.9% win probability, mirroring the market’s near-total dismissal of the Filipino side [1].

Traders should monitor live line-up confirmations and any pre-match roster changes, as Vici’s recent 2–0 win over Spirit at EWC 26 suggests strong tournament readiness, whereas Nemesis lost 0–2 to both Spirit and PARI in the same event [2]. The BO2 format introduces volatility where a single game loss ends the match, amplifying the risk for the lower-ranked team. Watch for official announcements from the Esports World Cup regarding delays or cancellations, which would trigger the 50–50 settlement clause if unresolved beyond seven days [1]. No injury or suspension news has emerged yet, but Vici’s consistent upper-bracket performance in Asia qualifiers reinforces their edge [6].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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