Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Champions League Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Champions League Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Champions League Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Philippines (-1.5) | 100% Philippines | 0% Myanmar |
| Myanmar (-1.5) | 0% Myanmar | 100% Philippines |
| Philippines (-2.5) | 100% Philippines | 0% Myanmar |
| Myanmar (-2.5) | 0% Myanmar | 100% Philippines |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
The Philippines and Myanmar are scheduled to meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 9 June at 7:30 AM ET, with the market currently pricing a 100% probability that additional betting markets will open for the fixture. This reflects standard market infrastructure for international friendlies involving Southeast Asian national teams, where secondary markets (goal-scorer, corner counts, handicap lines) typically materialise once primary match odds are established and squad lists confirmed.
The 100% crowd probability sits at the ceiling because friendly matches between AFF confederation members routinely attract supplementary market creation. Historical precedent from recent Philippines and Myanmar fixtures shows consistent secondary market deployment once team sheets are published, usually 48–72 hours before kick-off. The absence of major tournament status (this is not a World Cup or Asian Cup qualifier) does not suppress ancillary market generation on established platforms; rather, it standardises the timeline. Myanmar's recent competitive activity in ASEAN Championship qualifying and the Philippines' ongoing development programme both generate sufficient trading interest to justify expanded market coverage.
Traders should monitor official AFF and national federation announcements regarding final squad confirmation, expected around 5–6 June. Any late withdrawal of key players or unexpected injury disclosures could theoretically delay market rollout, though such delays are rare. Platform capacity and liquidity thresholds set by champions-league-prediction.co.uk will ultimately determine whether secondary markets launch; the current 100% reading suggests internal confidence in standard deployment protocols for this matchday.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $145K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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