Palestine vs. Kenya - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Palestine and Kenya will meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 6 June 2026, with the match kicking off at 8:30 AM ET. The market resolves on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty outcomes. Settlement closes at 12:30 PM ET the same day, allowing roughly four hours post-match for confirmation of the official result.

The 100% probability reading reflects the scarcity of historical precedent between these sides rather than certainty about any particular scoreline. Palestine and Kenya have limited competitive history; their most recent encounter occurred in 2015 World Cup qualifying, where Kenya won 2–1 away. Palestine's FIFA ranking has fluctuated between 140th and 160th in recent years, whilst Kenya typically sits between 100th and 120th. Friendly matches at this competitive level produce wide score distributions, with outcomes ranging from 0–0 draws to 3–1 or 4–1 results depending on squad depth and tactical setup. The absence of explicit listed outcomes for most possible scores means the "Any Other Score" category will likely capture the majority of trading interest.

Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury updates from both federations in the weeks preceding the match. Palestine's domestic league operates on a compressed schedule, potentially affecting player availability and match fitness. Kenya's recent friendlies have shown inconsistent defending, particularly in the opening 20 minutes. Fixture congestion in June 2026—with several nations preparing for continental tournaments—may influence team selection and intensity levels. Any late postponement announcements would extend the settlement window indefinitely.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Champions League Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Champions League Prediction?

Zero. Champions League Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.