Brazil vs. Haiti - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Brazil’s World Cup group match against Haiti is already a live case for exact-score pricing because the teams arrived with very different recent profiles. Brazil’s last six listed results include a 1-1 draw with Morocco, wins over Egypt and Panama, and defeats to Croatia and France, which points to a side that is creating chances but not locking games down cleanly.[1] Haiti have been more volatile, with a 0-1 loss to Scotland, a 1-2 defeat to Peru, a 4-0 win over New Zealand, and narrow results against Iceland and Tunisia, so their scores have been clustered around low-to-mid totals rather than one stable pattern.[1]

That history helps explain why the crowd has settled at 0% YES on a specific scoreline: exact-score markets in mismatched World Cup games usually concentrate into a few Brazil-heavy outcomes, with the “Any Other Score” bucket often carrying more weight than a single listed combination. Brazil were 0-0 with Haiti on Sky Sports’ in-play feed before the result settled, but the broader form data still points to Brazil control and Haiti resistance being the key tension, not a high-probability repeat of any one scoreline.[1]

For traders, the main catalysts are line-up and fitness information released before kick-off, plus any late changes to Brazil’s attacking shape or Haiti’s defensive availability. The match is listed for Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, with official venue and ticketing pages placing it on 19 June and the live data feed showing a 00:30 UTC start on 20 June, so any market movement is likely to come from confirmed team news rather than scheduling risk.[2][4][5][8]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Champions League Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Champions League Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.