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Canada vs. Morocco - Player Props

How the prediction market is pricing "Canada vs. Morocco - Player Props" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shots 91% Jonathan David: 1+ shots 86% Brahim Díaz: 1+ shots 75% Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ shots 73% Volume: $193K Liquidity: $63K Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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Canada vs. Morocco - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shots91%
Jonathan David: 1+ shots86%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ shots75%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ shots73%
Jonathan David: 2+ shots69%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ shots63%
Jonathan David: 3+ shots59%
Brahim Díaz: 3+ shots54%
Promise David: 1+ goals53%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ shots52%
Cyle Larin: 1+ shots52%
Promise David: 1+ shots52%
Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ shots52%
Brahim Díaz: 4+ shots51%
Promise David: 2+ shots51%
Promise David: 3+ shots51%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ shots50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ shots50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ shots50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 5+ shots50%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ shots50%
Brahim Díaz: 5+ shots50%
Cyle Larin: 2+ shots50%
Cyle Larin: 3+ shots50%
Cyle Larin: 4+ shots50%
Cyle Larin: 5+ shots50%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ shots50%
Ismael Saibari: 3+ shots50%
Ismael Saibari: 4+ shots50%
Ismael Saibari: 5+ shots50%
Jonathan David: 4+ shots50%
Jonathan David: 5+ shots50%
Promise David: 4+ shots50%
Promise David: 5+ shots50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ shots50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ shots50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 4+ shots50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 5+ shots50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ shots50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 4+ shots50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ assists50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ shots on target50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ shots on target50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ shots on target50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ shots on target50%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ shots on target50%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ shots on target50%
Brahim Díaz: 3+ shots on target50%
Cyle Larin: 2+ shots on target50%
Cyle Larin: 3+ shots on target50%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ shots on target50%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ shots on target50%
Ismael Saibari: 3+ shots on target50%
Ismael Saibari: 4+ shots on target50%
Jonathan David: 1+ shots on target50%
Jonathan David: 2+ shots on target50%
Jonathan David: 3+ shots on target50%
Promise David: 1+ shots on target50%
Promise David: 2+ shots on target50%
Promise David: 3+ shots on target50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ shots on target50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ shots on target50%
Soufiane Rahimi: 4+ shots on target50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shots on target50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ shots on target50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ shots on target50%
Dayne St. Clair: 2+ saves50%
Dayne St. Clair: 3+ saves50%
Dayne St. Clair: 4+ saves50%
Dayne St. Clair: 5+ saves50%
Yassine Bounou: 2+ saves50%
Yassine Bounou: 3+ saves50%
Yassine Bounou: 4+ saves50%
Yassine Bounou: 5+ saves50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals + assists50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goals + assists50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goals + assists50%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ goals + assists50%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals + assists50%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ goals + assists50%
Brahim Díaz: 3+ goals + assists50%
Cyle Larin: 1+ goals + assists50%
Cyle Larin: 2+ goals + assists50%
Cyle Larin: 3+ goals + assists50%
Cyle Larin: 4+ goals + assists50%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals + assists50%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ goals + assists50%
Ismael Saibari: 3+ goals + assists50%
Ismael Saibari: 4+ goals + assists50%
Jonathan David: 2+ goals + assists50%
Jonathan David: 3+ goals + assists50%
Jonathan David: 4+ goals + assists50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals + assists50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ goals + assists50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ goals + assists50%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 4+ goals + assists50%
Cyle Larin: 1+ shots on target49%
Brahim Díaz: 4+ goals + assists49%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals35%
Jonathan David: 1+ goals + assists34%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 5+ shots34%
Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ shots on target24%
Jonathan David: 1+ goals23%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals22%
Brahim Díaz: 1+ assists18%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals14%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ assists14%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goals13%
Jonathan David: 3+ goals13%
Promise David: 2+ goals13%
Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ goals13%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ goals13%
Cyle Larin: 1+ assists13%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goals12%
Brahim Díaz: 3+ goals12%
Cyle Larin: 3+ goals12%
Promise David: 3+ goals12%
Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ goals12%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ assists12%
Cyle Larin: 2+ assists12%
Ismael Saibari: 1+ assists12%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ assists12%
Jonathan David: 2+ assists12%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ assists12%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals11%
Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ goals10%
Jonathan David: 1+ assists10%
Cyle Larin: 1+ goals7%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ assists7%
Ismael Saibari: 2+ goals5%
Cyle Larin: 2+ goals3%
Jonathan David: 2+ goals3%
Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ goals3%
Brahim Díaz: 2+ goals2%
Ismael Saibari: 3+ goals2%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 91% probability to canada vs. morocco - player props. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Canada and Morocco, scheduled for July 4 at 1:00 PM ET.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Canada vs. Morocco - Player Props. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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