Egypt vs. IR Iran - Total Corners

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Market context

The FIFA World Cup group-stage clash between Egypt and IR Iran in Seattle on 26 June has already concluded as a 1–1 draw, with both sides recording identical defensive and attacking outputs that left the total corners market for any future settlement window effectively void. Since the match is finished and the settlement window ends 27 June at 03:00 UTC, the current 0% YES probability for a total corners outcome reflects the impossibility of new corner events occurring post-match.

Historical precedents in World Cup group stages show that when a match ends in a tight 1–1 stalemate with low shot volume—Egypt had eight shots (two on target), Iran six (three on target)—total corner counts typically remain below 8, making any “over” threshold highly improbable. Opta’s supercomputer had assigned Egypt a 44.1% win probability and Iran 24.6%, yet the actual result confirmed a balanced contest where neither side dominated territorial play, a pattern consistent with low-corner outcomes in similar fixtures.

Traders should note that no further announcements, line-up changes, or injury updates can alter the settled result; the only dependency is the official confirmation of match statistics by FIFA, which already lists referee Szymon Marciniak and confirms the final score. As reported by Yahoo Sports, both teams’ prior matches against New Zealand produced over 2.5 goals, but this fixture’s defensive rigour directly suppressed attacking transitions, eliminating the catalysts needed for high corner counts. With the match complete and statistics locked, the market’s 0% probability is not speculative but factual.

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Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Champions League Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.