England vs. Ghana - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the FIFA World Cup Group L match between England and Ghana at Boston Stadium on Tuesday, 23 June 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 GMT. England, having secured a 4–2 victory over Croatia in their opener, face Ghana, who narrowly beat Panama. The market currently prices a specific exact score outcome at 5% probability, implying the crowd views any precise final tally as a low-probability event compared to the broader "Any Other Score" resolution.

Historically, when two Group L teams with contrasting opening results meet in a knockout-qualifying fixture, exact scores rarely align with market expectations unless one side dominates early. In comparable World Cup Group stage matches where the favourite held a 1/6 odds advantage, the most common outcomes were 2–0 or 3–0, yet the "Any Other Score" category captured over 60% of settlements. The 5% current probability suggests traders are betting against a clean, predictable result, likely due to Ghana’s defensive resilience against Panama and England’s tendency to concede despite strong attacking form.

Traders must monitor final line-up confirmations and in-game tactical shifts, particularly whether England’s front three (Kane, Bellingham, Rashford) maintain their opening intensity. Declan Rice and Harry Kane are confirmed fit, while Trevoh Chalobah is available after Livramento’s injury [3]. Ghana’s squad includes key defenders like Thomas Partey and Abdul Mumin, whose performance against Panama will be critical. Any late injury news or substitution changes before kick-off could significantly alter the exact score probability, making pre-match announcements the primary catalyst for line movement.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Champions League Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.