Haiti vs. Scotland - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Haiti and Scotland meet in a 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifier on 13 June at 9:00 PM ET. The market is currently priced at 0% YES, indicating traders assess near-zero probability that additional markets will be created for this fixture before the settlement deadline on 14 June at 01:00 UTC.

The 0% probability reflects the typical market-creation cycle for World Cup qualifiers. Major sportsbooks and prediction platforms release their full suite of markets—match outcome, goals, cards, corners—within hours of fixture confirmation, not in the final twelve hours before kick-off. Historical precedent shows that markets for confirmed matches either exist well in advance or are deliberately withheld by operators. The Haiti–Scotland pairing, whilst geographically unusual, carries no special status that would trigger late-stage market expansion. Operators have had months to plan their offering for this CONCACAF–UEFA inter-confederation playoff or group-stage encounter, making last-minute additions structurally unlikely.

Traders should monitor whether this fixture is part of a scheduled play-off or group phase with staggered market releases. If the match is a preliminary round or replay scenario, some platforms may delay certain exotic markets (player-specific props, live-only bets) until closer to kick-off. Confirmation of the competition format and any broadcaster-imposed restrictions on market types will clarify whether the 0% assessment holds. Otherwise, the absence of new markets by mid-June suggests operators have already committed to their final product line.

Methodology

We track Haiti vs. Scotland - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Champions League Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Champions League Prediction?

Zero. Champions League Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Champions League Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.