Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
99% | 1% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
99% | 1% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 99% |
| Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5) | 92% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 76% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 63% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 63% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | 63% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? | 63% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 51% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 51% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 51% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1? | 49% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 25% |
| Game 2 Winner | 13% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 13% |
| Match Winner | 3% |
| Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) | 1% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: furia esports vs dplus kia (bo3) - esports world cup group a stands at 99% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between FURIA Esports and Dplus KIA in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 15 at 12:10PM ET. Th…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for LoL: FURIA Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade LoL: FURIA Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports Worl… on Champions League Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →