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LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

How the prediction market is pricing "LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 66% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 66% Game 2 Winner 53% Match Winner 53% Volume: $152K Liquidity: $116K Closes: 31 Aug 2026
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LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 66% 34% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 66% 34% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon66%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon66%
Game 2 Winner53%
Match Winner53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Game 1 Winner52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?46%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?45%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?35%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?32%
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)31%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors28%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 66% YES probability for LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season. This market refers to the LoL match between LYON and Team Liquid in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the m…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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