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LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

"LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 72% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 71% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 63% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 56% Volume: $82K Liquidity: $430K Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
72% 28% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
72% 28% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon72%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon71%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon63%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?56%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Any Player Quadra Kill48%
Any Player Penta Kill48%
Any Player Quadra Kill48%
Any Player Penta Kill48%
First Blood in Game 2?48%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Game 1 Winner42%
Game 2 Winner42%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?42%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?42%
Match Winner38%
Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)37%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor20%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor20%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors19%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors19%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: shifters vs giantx (bo3) - lec regular season stands at 72% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between Shifters and GIANTX in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 7 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Shifters" i…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
and

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