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LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

"LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) 100% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 56% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 54% Volume: $793K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 7 Sept 2026
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LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?56%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon54%
Odd/Even Total Kills52%
First Blood in Game 2?52%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?44%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: shopify rebellion vs flyquest (bo3) - lcs regular season stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between Shopify Rebellion and FlyQuest in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will res…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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