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LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

"LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Match Winner 86% First Blood in Game 4? 71% Game 1 Winner 71% Game 3 Winner 71% Volume: $532K Liquidity: $787K Closes: 29 Jun 2026
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LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 86% 14% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 86% 14% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner86%
First Blood in Game 4?71%
Game 1 Winner71%
Game 3 Winner71%
Game 2 Winner70%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)68%
Game 4 Winner63%
First Blood in Game 2?62%
First Blood in Game 3?62%
First Blood in Game 1?61%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor60%
Any Player Quadra Kill60%
O/U 3.5 Games60%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors56%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon43%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon40%
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)39%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?38%
Any Player Penta Kill38%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?37%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?36%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Penta Kill27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
O/U 4.5 Games24%
Any Player Penta Kill11%
Any Player Penta Kill11%
Any Player Penta Kill10%

Market context

Market consensus: 86% chance of lol: t1 vs karmine corp (bo5) - mid-season invitational play-in. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between T1 and Karmine Corp in the Mid-Season Invitational Play-In, initially scheduled for June 28 at 11:00PM ET. This mar…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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