Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The Detroit Tigers host the Cleveland Guardians on 13 June at 4:10PM ET in a divisional matchup within the American League Central. The settlement window extends to 20 June, allowing for rescheduling should weather or other circumstances postpone the fixture. Current market pricing reflects 0% implied probability for a Tigers victory, suggesting the Guardians are heavily favoured or the market has yet to price in meaningful information about team form and roster status heading into mid-June.

Historical context matters here: the Guardians have consistently outperformed the Tigers in recent seasons, with Cleveland winning the AL Central in 2022 and maintaining competitive rosters whilst Detroit rebuilds. Head-to-head records over the past three years favour Cleveland substantially, though individual matchups remain volatile. The 0% Tigers probability appears extreme given that baseball games carry inherent variance—even strong favourites lose roughly 40% of their games—suggesting either incomplete market participation or pending roster news that would shift pricing once disclosed.

Traders should monitor pitching assignments, which typically become public 48 hours before first pitch. Injury updates to either rotation or key position players could materially alter expected run production. Recent June performance trends for both clubs warrant checking: whether Detroit's offence has found consistency or if Cleveland's bullpen has remained reliable. Line-up announcements and any late-breaking roster moves—trades, call-ups, or unexpected absences—will be critical inputs before settlement. The extended resolution window provides time for such information to surface and repricing to occur.

Methodology

This page reviews Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Champions League Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Champions League Prediction?

Zero. Champions League Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Champions League Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.