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Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics

How the prediction market is pricing "Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 86% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 76% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 65% NRFI 58% Volume: $180K Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
86% 14% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
86% 14% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.586%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.576%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.565%
NRFI58%
Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics56%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.555%
O/U 10.554%
Spread -1.547%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.545%
O/U 11.544%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.538%
Spread -2.538%
O/U 12.537%
Spread -1.528%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.527%
Spread -2.521%
Extra Innings8%

Market context

The Detroit Tigers’ home game against the Athletics opens with a market that still prices Detroit as a modest favourite, with the crowd-implied 56% YES sitting close to the sort of mid-50s moneyline edge the Tigers have repeatedly carried in this matchup and similar late-July spot checks.[5][8][17] That is consistent with recent head-to-head form: Detroit beat Oakland 6-1 on 8 July, and ESPN’s game page for the rematch showed the Tigers priced as the more likely winner before that result.[2][1] In practical terms, the current probability is not an outlier; it sits in the same band as recent Tigers-Athletics pricing rather than reflecting a strong market conviction.

For traders, the main catalysts are the line-up card, whether Detroit rests anyone in a wrap-around series spot, and the final pitching confirmation. One preview listed Casey Mize versus Jeffrey Springs, with Mize carrying a 2.70 ERA and Springs a 6.23 ERA, a starting-pitching split that would support Detroit if it holds at first pitch.[10] The other key dependency is whether the game stays on schedule, because the market remains open if postponed and only settles on the completed official result; a cancellation or tie would push it 50-50. Recent preview pages and odds boards also suggest this fixture has been moving around the low- to mid-50s for Detroit, so any late team news, bullpen availability or batting-order rest will matter more than broad season records alone.[3][5][18]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 86% for "Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 86% Other 14%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $180K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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