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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies

"Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Extra Innings 50% Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies 47% O/U 5.5 41% O/U 6.5 31% Volume: $826K Liquidity: $297K Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Extra Innings50%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies47%
O/U 5.541%
O/U 6.531%
Spread -1.528%
Spread -1.523%
O/U 7.520%
O/U 8.515%
O/U 9.59%
O/U 10.57%
NRFI0%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pittsburgh pirates vs. philadelphia phillies stands at 50% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for July 2 at 12:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pitt…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Extra Innings at 50% for "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies".

Extra Innings 50% Other 50%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $826K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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