Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Draw | 100% |
| CF Montréal | 0% |
| New England Revolution | 0% |
Market context
CF Montréal’s meeting with New England Revolution has already moved from a routine Eastern Conference fixture into a matchup with a clear recent pattern: New England won 3-0 in April 2026, after a 3-1 Montréal win in Foxborough in July 2025, while the broader head-to-head still leans the Revolution, 19 wins to Montréal’s 14 with four draws on FotMob’s count. ESPN’s recent history also shows New England has taken three of the last five meetings, including a 5-0 win in 2024 and a 3-0 away win in May 2025, which is the kind of sequence that keeps a 0% “YES” price anchored unless the market expects a major team-news reversal.[2][3][5]
For traders, the key catalysts are line-up announcements, late injury or suspension updates, and whether either club is forced to rotate around a busy MLS schedule. New England’s April 2026 shutout came with Matt Turner in goal and goals from Luca Langoni, Mamadou Fofana and Peyton Miller, underlining how much the price can move if their preferred spine is intact again.[16] Montréal’s recent profiles have also been volatile, with AP noting Prince-Osei Owusu and Carles Gil as the main attacking reference points for their clubs’ 2026 production, so any absence there would matter immediately to in-play and pre-match views.[13] With the fixture time already set for 1 August, the decisive information is not the date itself but the confirmed teamsheet and any official availability notes released on matchday.[1][3]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $114K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for CF Montréal vs. New England Revolution. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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