New England Revolution vs. New York City FC

Platform comparison

Market context

New England Revolution host New York City FC in MLS, with the market’s 0% YES price implying the match is effectively treated as settled already or that the listed event has been superseded by the clock. That should be read against a fairly even historical matchup: the sides have been level over the long run, with 11 wins apiece and eight draws in the head-to-head, so there is little built-in dominance for either club to lean on.

Form and availability are the main line-movers. New England arrived off a 3-0 win at D.C. United, but still had Luca Langoni, Leonardo Campana and Ilay Feingold flagged out, while Brooklyn Raines was also suspended for the fixture. NYCFC had a deeper absentee list, including Arnau Farnós, Aiden O’Neill, Kai Trewin, Hannes Wolf, Thiago Martins and Maxi Moralez, with Alonso Martínez also listed among the injuries; that is enough to affect both chance creation and structure in a tight Eastern Conference game.

The key catalysts are late team sheets and any change in the injury picture, especially around NYCFC’s front line and centre-back options. If Thiago Martins or Alonso Martínez were to prove fit, the price would move more on quality than on depth, while any further absences would leave NYCFC reliant on a patched-up rotation after a heavy recent schedule. New England’s own selection is less settled than the win in Washington suggested, so the live number is most sensitive to who is actually available rather than the basic head-to-head record.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for New England Revolution vs. New York City FC. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?

Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.