Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 197.5 | 93% |
| O/U 199.5 | 90% |
| Warriors O/U 92.5 | 90% |
| O/U 201.5 | 88% |
| O/U 203.5 | 86% |
| Warriors O/U 94.5 | 85% |
| O/U 205.5 | 82% |
| O/U 207.5 | 80% |
| Warriors O/U 96.5 | 79% |
| O/U 209.5 | 77% |
| 1H O/U 90.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 94.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 96.5 | 76% |
| Spread -1.5 | 75% |
| 1H O/U 92.5 | 75% |
| 1H O/U 98.5 | 74% |
| Warriors O/U 98.5 | 74% |
| Spread -2.5 | 72% |
| O/U 211.5 | 72% |
| Spread -3.5 | 70% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 19.5 | 70% |
| O/U 213.5 | 68% |
| 1H O/U 100.5 | 68% |
| Warriors O/U 100.5 | 68% |
| Spread -4.5 | 66% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 65% |
| O/U 215.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 64% |
| Spread -5.5 | 63% |
| O/U 217.5 | 61% |
| Warriors O/U 102.5 | 61% |
| Spread -6.5 | 60% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 58% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 58% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 58% |
| Spread -7.5 | 56% |
| O/U 219.5 | 55% |
| Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| Warriors O/U 104.5 | 55% |
| Spread -8.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 54% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 53% |
| Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Jalen Green: Assists O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 50.5 | 52% |
| O/U 221.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 51% |
| Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Khaman Maluach: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Khaman Maluach: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Khaman Maluach: Assists O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Collin Gillespie: Steals O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Jalen Green: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Khaman Maluach: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Collin Gillespie: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Collin Gillespie: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Green: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Green: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Khaman Maluach: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Khaman Maluach: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Khaman Maluach: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| Miles Bridges: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Miles Bridges: Points O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 49% |
| Khaman Maluach: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Miles Bridges: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Jalen Green: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Warriors O/U 106.5 | 48% |
| Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Dillon Brooks: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 47% |
| O/U 223.5 | 46% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 14.5 | 46% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 39.5 | 46% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 46% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| Spread -10.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 45% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5 | 45% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Devin Booker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| O/U 224.5 | 44% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 44% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 3.5 | 43% |
| Miles Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 29.5 | 43% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 43% |
| Spread -11.5 | 42% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 19.5 | 42% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Warriors O/U 108.5 | 42% |
| O/U 225.5 | 41% |
| Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 41% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 41% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 41% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 40% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 40% |
| Spread -13.5 | 38% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| O/U 227.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 2.5 | 36% |
| Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 35% |
| Warriors O/U 110.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 34% |
| O/U 229.5 | 33% |
| Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 2.5 | 33% |
| Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 9.5 | 33% |
| Dillon Brooks: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Spread -15.5 | 32% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5 | 32% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 32% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 32% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 16.5 | 31% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 31% |
| O/U 231.5 | 30% |
| Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 10.5 | 30% |
| Dillon Brooks: Assists O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 30% |
| 1H Moneyline | 29% |
| Devin Booker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 29% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 29% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 29% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Warriors O/U 112.5 | 28% |
| Suns O/U 122.5 | 28% |
| Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 27% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| Spread -17.5 | 26% |
| O/U 233.5 | 26% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 26% |
| Miles Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 26% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 26% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 25% |
| Warriors vs. Suns | 24% |
| Warriors O/U 114.5 | 24% |
| O/U 235.5 | 23% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 23% |
| Suns O/U 124.5 | 23% |
| Spread -19.5 | 22% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| O/U 237.5 | 20% |
| Dillon Brooks: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 20% |
| Spread -2.5 | 19% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 19% |
| Spread -21.5 | 18% |
| O/U 239.5 | 18% |
| Devin Booker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| Warriors O/U 116.5 | 18% |
| Suns O/U 126.5 | 17% |
| Spread -23.5 | 16% |
| Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 16% |
| Miles Bridges: Points O/U 19.5 | 15% |
| Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 15% |
| Spread -4.5 | 14% |
| Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Miles Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 14% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Jalen Green: Assists O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 13% |
| Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| Spread -25.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 12% |
| Dillon Brooks: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Spread -27.5 | 10% |
| Devin Booker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| Khaman Maluach: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 10% |
| Spread -8.5 | 9% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 24.5 | 9% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Dillon Brooks: Assists O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 9% |
| Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Miles Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Spread -12.5 | 7% |
| Spread -29.5 | 7% |
| Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 34.5 | 7% |
| Miles Bridges: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Dillon Brooks: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Spread -31.5 | 6% |
| Spread -33.5 | 6% |
| O/U 251.5 | 6% |
| O/U 253.5 | 6% |
| Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Jalen Green: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| Devin Booker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Spread -14.5 | 5% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Spread -22.5 | 3% |
| Spread -18.5 | 2% |
| Spread -20.5 | 2% |
Market context
Warriors vs. Suns. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 24% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-25T02:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $124K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Warriors vs. Suns. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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