Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 213.5 | 96% |
| O/U 215.5 | 95% |
| O/U 217.5 | 93% |
| O/U 219.5 | 92% |
| O/U 221.5 | 90% |
| O/U 223.5 | 88% |
| O/U 225.5 | 85% |
| Bulls O/U 110.5 | 84% |
| Wizards O/U 110.5 | 84% |
| O/U 227.5 | 82% |
| O/U 229.5 | 79% |
| Bulls O/U 112.5 | 79% |
| Wizards O/U 112.5 | 79% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 78% |
| O/U 230.5 | 77% |
| O/U 231.5 | 75% |
| Bulls O/U 114.5 | 74% |
| Wizards O/U 114.5 | 73% |
| O/U 233.5 | 71% |
| Bulls O/U 116.5 | 69% |
| O/U 235.5 | 68% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 68% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 68% |
| O/U 236.5 | 67% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 66% |
| O/U 237.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 65% |
| O/U 238.5 | 63% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 14.5 | 63% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 63% |
| Bulls O/U 118.5 | 63% |
| O/U 239.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 59% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 57% |
| O/U 241.5 | 56% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 56% |
| O/U 242.5 | 55% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| Norman Powell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| Wizards O/U 120.5 | 54% |
| O/U 243.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 61.5 | 52% |
| 1H Moneyline | 51% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 66.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| O/U 244.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Wilson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Norman Powell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Norman Powell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Norman Powell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Smith: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Smith: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Smith: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Bulls O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| Bulls O/U 122.5 | 50% |
| Bulls O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 2H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 1H O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Wizards O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| Wizards O/U 118.5 | 50% |
| Wizards O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 49% |
| Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 49% |
| Wizards vs. Bulls | 48% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 17.5 | 48% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Josh Giddey: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 15.5 | 48% |
| Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 48% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 34.5 | 47% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 34.5 | 47% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 47% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Wizards O/U 122.5 | 47% |
| Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 14.5 | 46% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 34.5 | 46% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 46% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| O/U 246.5 | 45% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 39.5 | 45% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 34.5 | 45% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 39.5 | 45% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 44% |
| Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 29.5 | 43% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 17.5 | 43% |
| Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 11.5 | 42% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 42% |
| Jalen Smith: Points O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 42% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| O/U 249.5 | 40% |
| Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| Josh Giddey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 39% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| Bulls O/U 126.5 | 38% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 2.5 | 37% |
| Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| Jalen Smith: Assists O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 36% |
| Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 22.5 | 35% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Spread -6.5 | 34% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 34% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| 2Q O/U 63.5 | 34% |
| Bulls 1H O/U 64.5 | 34% |
| O/U 252.5 | 33% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| Bulls O/U 128.5 | 33% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 64.5 | 33% |
| Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 20.5 | 32% |
| Josh Giddey: Points O/U 12.5 | 32% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 20.5 | 31% |
| Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| Spread -9.5 | 28% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Bulls O/U 130.5 | 28% |
| O/U 255.5 | 27% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 24.5 | 27% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 23.5 | 27% |
| 2Q O/U 65.5 | 27% |
| Jalen Smith: Points O/U 14.5 | 26% |
| Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Wizards O/U 130.5 | 25% |
| Spread -9.5 | 24% |
| Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 24.5 | 24% |
| Josh Giddey: Points O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Josh Giddey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| 1H O/U 131.5 | 22% |
| Bulls O/U 132.5 | 22% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 133.5 | 21% |
| Spread -11.5 | 20% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 24.5 | 20% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| Spread -12.5 | 19% |
| Spread -12.5 | 19% |
| Wizards O/U 132.5 | 19% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 135.5 | 18% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 17% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 11.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 137.5 | 17% |
| Bulls O/U 134.5 | 17% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| 1H O/U 139.5 | 16% |
| Spread -14.5 | 15% |
| Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 19.5 | 15% |
| Wizards O/U 134.5 | 15% |
| Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 13.5 | 14% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| 1H O/U 141.5 | 13% |
| Spread -15.5 | 12% |
| Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 15.5 | 12% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 12% |
| Jalen Smith: Points O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 12% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Caleb Wilson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 11% |
| Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Spread -18.5 | 10% |
| Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| Norman Powell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Josh Giddey: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Jalen Smith: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 9% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 29.5 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 13.5 | 8% |
| Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Jalen Smith: Assists O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Josh Giddey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Spread -22.5 | 5% |
| Spread -23.5 | 5% |
| Spread -25.5 | 5% |
| Caleb Wilson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Spread -24.5 | 4% |
| Spread -26.5 | 4% |
| Spread -29.5 | 3% |
| Spread -27.5 | 2% |
Market context
Wizards vs. Bulls. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 48% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-25T00:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $112K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Wizards vs. Bulls. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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