Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
99% | 1% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
99% | 1% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Bears vs. Titans: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.5 | 99% |
| O/U 19.5 | 95% |
| O/U 25.5 | 91% |
| O/U 27.5 | 81% |
| O/U 31.5 | 79% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 77% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 75% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 73% |
| O/U 36.5 | 71% |
| Bears vs. Titans | 70% |
| O/U 35.5 | 70% |
| Spread -1.5 | 69% |
| O/U 41.5 | 65% |
| O/U 37.5 | 62% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 62% |
| O/U 21.5 | 61% |
| O/U 33.5 | 61% |
| O/U 17.5 | 59% |
| O/U 23.5 | 56% |
| O/U 39.5 | 56% |
| O/U 29.5 | 52% |
| 2H Moneyline | 51% |
| 1H Moneyline | 51% |
| Titans O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bears O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Titans O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Titans O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Titans O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Titans O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Bears O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Bears O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bears O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Bears O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bears by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bears by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bears by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bears by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bears by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Titans by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Titans by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Titans by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Titans by 21+ | 50% |
| Bears Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Titans Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Bears vs. Titans: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Titans 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Titans 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Titans 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Bears 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Bears 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Bears 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| O/U 43.5 | 43% |
| Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| Spread -0.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| Spread -4.5 | 25% |
| O/U 45.5 | 25% |
| O/U 49.5 | 25% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| O/U 55.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 18% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 99% probability to bears vs. titans. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 29 at 6:00PM ET: If Bears wins, the market will resolve to "Bears". If Titans wins, the market will resolve to "Titans". If the game is postponed, this m…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $149K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Bears vs. Titans. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
- Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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