Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Club Alianza Lima | 100% |
| Draw | 0% |
| CS Huancayo | 0% |
Market context
Club Alianza Lima defeated CS Huancayo 2–1 in their Peru Liga 1 fixture on Sunday, 19 July 2026 at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, confirming the outcome priced at 100% YES in the prediction market[4]. This result mirrors their earlier January encounter, where Alianza Lima also won 2–1, establishing a consistent pattern of dominance in recent head-to-head meetings[5]. Historical data shows Alianza Lima has won both of their 2026 Liga 1 clashes against Huancayo, with both matches producing over 1.5 goals and neither ending in a draw, reinforcing the certainty reflected in the market probability[1].
Traders should monitor official squad announcements for the next round, particularly any injury updates to Alianza Lima’s key attackers following this high-intensity match, as fatigue could impact future form[2]. While no suspensions were reported post-match, Huancayo’s defensive frailties—evident in conceding twice in both 2026 fixtures—remain a critical vulnerability that could influence upcoming odds if similar line-ups are deployed[3]. With the settlement window closing shortly after the match date, the 100% YES probability aligns with the final score and eliminates any need for further speculation on the result[4].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $120K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for Club Alianza Lima vs. CS Huancayo. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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