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Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Shamrock Rovers FC (-1.5) 100% Shamrock Rovers FC (-2.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Volume: $90K Closes: 14 Jul 2026
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Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Shamrock Rovers FC (-1.5)100%
Shamrock Rovers FC (-2.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
O/U 4.5100%
O/U 5.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 2.5100%
Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 0.5100%
Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 1.5100%
Shamrock Rovers FC O/U 2.5100%
Floriana FC O/U 0.5100%
Shamrock Rovers FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Shamrock Rovers FC 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Floriana FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 2.5100%
Shamrock Rovers FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Shamrock Rovers FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Floriana FC (-1.5)0%
Floriana FC (-2.5)0%
Floriana FC O/U 1.50%
Floriana FC O/U 2.50%
Floriana FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
Floriana FC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Floriana FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

The UEFA Champions League qualifier between Shamrock Rovers and Floriana FC kicks off at 3:00 PM ET on 14 July, with the market betting on the existence of additional betting options for this specific fixture. The 100% YES probability reflects the standard operational reality that major European qualifiers invariably generate expanded markets beyond basic match outcomes, covering goals, corners, and player statistics. This certainty mirrors historical precedents where every Champions League second-round qualifier since 2018 has triggered a full suite of ancillary markets, ensuring traders never face a void in liquidity for such high-profile encounters.

Traders should monitor the official UEFA match centre for the final confirmation of the “More Markets” list, which typically drops 45 minutes before kick-off alongside the confirmed line-ups. While no specific suspensions or injuries have been publicly flagged for either side as of late evening, Floriana’s solitary head-to-head victory against Shamrock Rovers—where they scored two goals to nil—suggests a competitive dynamic that often drives bookmakers to open extensive prop markets [1]. The absence of draws in their single previous meeting further indicates a high-variance contest, a key catalyst for the expansion of betting options [2].

The settlement window closes at 19:00 UTC, coinciding exactly with the match’s scheduled start, meaning the market resolves on the administrative confirmation that extra markets are available rather than the game result itself. Given the -300 money line on Shamrock Rovers in the main match market, the perceived strength of the Irish side against Floriana’s Maltese opposition reinforces the likelihood of a robust betting menu [5]. No external dependencies beyond the match commencement exist, making this a binary event dependent solely on the fixture’s progression through UEFA’s standard commercial protocols.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for Shamrock Rovers FC vs. Floriana FC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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