Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Hradec Králové (-1.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC Hradec Králové O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Hradec Králové O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC Hradec Králové O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Tromsø IL O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Hradec Králové 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Tromsø IL 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC Hradec Králové 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Hradec Králové 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Team to Advance | 100% |
| Tromsø IL (-1.5) | 0% |
| FC Hradec Králové (-2.5) | 0% |
| Tromsø IL (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Tromsø IL O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Tromsø IL O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Hradec Králové 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Tromsø IL 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Tromsø IL 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Tromsø IL 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Hradec Králové’s Europa League tie against Tromsø IL is set up from a 1-0 first-leg lead for the Czechs, after Mick van Buren scored late in Norway and goalkeeper Adam Zadražil saved a penalty before the winner arrived in the 85th minute.[2][7] That result matters for how to read a **100% YES** price on more markets: the market is already assuming the second leg has very little scope to surprise, because Hradec can play to game state, while Tromsø now need to chase the aggregate deficit in a match that is likely to be shaped by the first goal.[2][13]
The historical frame is thin because this pairing has only one recent head-to-head, but the first leg itself is informative: Tromsø had long spells of territorial control yet still lost 1-0, which is the kind of pattern that can keep “more markets” live if the return leg becomes open in the second half.[2][7] UEFA also lists the return fixture as the official second-leg meeting in this qualifier, confirming there is no earlier reversal in the tie to change the baseline.[1][15]
The main catalysts are team news and match state. If Hradec keep the same defensive structure and Zadražil starts again, the aggregate lead and away-goal-era absence both favour a controlled approach; if Tromsø name a more aggressive front line or make changes after the first-leg miss, the game can tilt quickly towards late corners, cards and shots.[2][13] Traders should also watch for any UEFA squad updates, late injuries, and whether either side rotates around a tight July schedule, because qualification matches are often decided by availability rather than season-long form.[1][2]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for FC Hradec Králové vs. Tromsø IL - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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