Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Team to Advance | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| FC Sheriff Tiraspol O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| FC Sheriff Tiraspol 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| FC Sheriff Tiraspol O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score | 44% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv O/U 2.5 | 43% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-1.5) | 38% |
| O/U 2.5 | 34% |
| FC Sheriff Tiraspol O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| FC Sheriff Tiraspol 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-2.5) | 21% |
| O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| FC Sheriff Tiraspol (-1.5) | 6% |
| O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| FC Sheriff Tiraspol (-2.5) | 4% |
| O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| MH Maccabi Tel Aviv 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC Sheriff Tiraspol 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC Sheriff Tiraspol 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Maccabi Tel Aviv’s first-leg 5-0 win over Sheriff Tiraspol has already given this tie a one-sided shape, so the market for “more markets” is being read through whether the second leg turns into another controlled Maccabi performance or a rotation-heavy dead rubber. ESPN’s match record and live reports confirm the scale of the away victory, with goals from Abu Farkhi, Peretz, Yehezkel and Sissokho, while Sports Mole frames the return as Maccabi protecting a 5-0 aggregate lead rather than needing to chase the game[1][13][10]. That sort of cushion usually pushes ancillary markets towards Maccabi-favoured outcomes, particularly if the coaching staff keeps senior attackers on the pitch long enough to extend pressure.
The main catalysts are team news and selection, because the price on additional markets will swing with whether Maccabi rotate after a heavy aggregate advantage and whether Sheriff can restore any defensive stability. Sports Mole’s preview points to an uphill task for Sheriff and a likely Maccabi win in the second leg, while Yahoo Sports lists Maccabi as a strong favourite on the match line, which is consistent with a market expecting the Israeli side to control territory and chances[10][14]. Traders should also watch for official line-ups close to kick-off, as any rest for Maccabi’s front line or a more conservative shape would reduce the case for high-scoring or multi-goal derivative markets, while Sheriff’s need to attack could open counter-attacking angles[10][14].
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Sheriff Tiraspol - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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