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UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

How the prediction market is pricing "UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 74% O/U 1.5 Rounds 61% Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore 50% Fight to Go the Distance? 50% Volume: $96K Liquidity: $144K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
74% 26% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
74% 26% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds74%
O/U 1.5 Rounds61%
Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore50%
Fight to Go the Distance?50%
O/U 2.5 Rounds42%
Fight won by submission?41%
Fight won by KO/TKO?40%
Luque to win by KO/TKO?40%
Gore to win by KO/TKO?29%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 74% probability to ufc 330: vicente luque vs. tresean gore (middleweight, early prelims). This market will resolve to "Vicente Luque" if Vicente Luque is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tresean Gore at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026.…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 74% for "UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 74% Other 26%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $96K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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Related Topics

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