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China Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Yexin Ma

How the prediction market is pricing "China Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Yexin Ma" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

China Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Yexin Ma 100% Completed Match 100% China Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Yexin Ma Set 1 Winner 100% China Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Yexin Ma Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $256K Closes: 6 Oct 2026
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China Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Yexin Ma

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
China Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Yexin Ma100%
Completed Match100%
China Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Yexin Ma Set 1 Winner100%
China Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Yexin Ma Set 2 Winner100%
China Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Yexin Ma Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
China Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Yexin Ma Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
China Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Yexin Ma Game Spread +/-1.5100%
China Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Yexin Ma Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
China Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Yexin Ma Set 1 O/U 9.50%
China Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Yexin Ma Set 1 O/U 10.50%
China Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Yexin Ma Set 2 O/U 8.50%
China Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Yexin Ma Set 2 O/U 9.50%
China Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Yexin Ma Set 2 O/U 10.50%
China Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Yexin Ma Match O/U 21.50%
China Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Yexin Ma Match O/U 22.50%
China Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Yexin Ma Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

The China Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Yexin Ma prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Harriet Dart and Yexin Ma in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Harr…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for China Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Yexin Ma. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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Related Topics

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