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National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova

How the prediction market is pricing "National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova 100% Completed Match 100% National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova Set 1 Winner 100% National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $412K Liquidity: $326K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova100%
Completed Match100%
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova Set 1 Winner100%
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova Set 2 Winner100%
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova Set 2 O/U 8.50%
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova Set 1 O/U 8.50%
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova Match O/U 21.50%
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova Set 2 O/U 9.50%
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova Set 1 O/U 9.50%
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova Match O/U 22.50%
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova Set 1 O/U 10.50%
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova Set 2 O/U 10.50%
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova Set Handicap +/-1.50%
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the tennis match between Elina Svitolina and Anastasia Potapova in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'El…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapova. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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Related Topics

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