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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Football snapshot for "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Match Winner 77% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 74% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 74% Game 2 Winner 70% Volume: $125K Liquidity: $1.0M Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner77%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon74%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon74%
Game 2 Winner70%
Game 1 Winner69%
First Blood in Game 2?55%
First Blood in Game 1?55%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?53%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)49%
O/U 2.5 Games42%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?41%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?41%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor14%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor14%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors7%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors7%

Market context

Market consensus: 77% chance of lol: bilibili gaming vs jd gaming (bo3) - lpl group ascend. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between Bilibili Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 12 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bil…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
and

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