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LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

How the prediction market is pricing "LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 79% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 78% Any Player Quadra Kill 54% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 53% Volume: $65K Liquidity: $256K Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
79% 21% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
79% 21% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon79%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon78%
Any Player Quadra Kill54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?53%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
Game 2 Winner48%
Game 1 Winner47%
Match Winner45%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?40%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?40%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon39%
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)30%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor20%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors14%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor14%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors14%

Market context

The LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group prediction market currently prices this outcome at 79% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between HANJIN BRION and BNK FEARX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRIO…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
and

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