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LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

How the prediction market is pricing "LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 79% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 78% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 56% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 55% Volume: $152K Liquidity: $827K Closes: 12 Aug 2026
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LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
79% 21% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
79% 21% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon79%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon78%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?55%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?43%
Game 1 Winner42%
Game 2 Winner42%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
Match Winner39%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?39%
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)34%
Any Player Quadra Kill26%
Any Player Quadra Kill16%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor13%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor11%
Any Player Penta Kill11%
Any Player Penta Kill11%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors7%

Market context

Market consensus: 79% chance of lol: dn soopers vs nongshim red force (bo3) - lck round 3-4 rise group. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between DN SOOPers and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 12 at 4:00AM ET. This market will res…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
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