LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

G2 Esports and Movistar KOI meet in the LEC Upper bracket final on 25 May, a best-of-five clash that determines which team advances directly to the playoff finals. Both organisations have competed at the highest level of European League of Legends for multiple seasons, though KOI's ascent to this stage represents a significant shift in the region's competitive hierarchy following roster changes and investment over the past two years.

Historically, G2 holds a commanding head-to-head record against KOI across regular season and playoff encounters, winning the majority of direct matchups since KOI's formation. However, recent LEC regular season results show KOI closing the gap considerably, with strong performances in spring 2026 suggesting improved macro play and individual lane stability. G2 remains the favourites on pedigree and consistency, yet the trajectory favours treating this as closer than traditional odds might suggest. KOI's mid-lane and support coordination has been their primary strength, whilst G2's bot lane remains a reliable pressure point.

Key variables for traders include last-minute roster confirmations—any player unavailability or substitution announcements before the 11:00 AM ET start would shift expectations materially. Schedule adherence matters given the seven-day cancellation clause; delays beyond that window trigger a 50-50 resolution. Watch for official LEC communications on team readiness and any technical issues flagged during the preceding week. The match's position as an Upper bracket final means the loser drops to a lower bracket semi-final rather than elimination, which may influence early-game aggression from both sides.

Methodology

We track LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.