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LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 3.5 Games 75% Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? 75% Match Winner 56% Game 2 Winner 54% Volume: $170K Liquidity: $191K Closes: 22 Oct 2026
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LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games75%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?75%
Match Winner56%
Game 2 Winner54%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?54%
Game 1 Winner53%
Game 3 Winner53%
Game 4 Winner53%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors48%
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Solary (+1.5)40%
O/U 4.5 Games36%
Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)31%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?26%
Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs Solary (+2.5)19%
Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs Galions (+2.5)13%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 75% probability to lol: galions vs solary (bo5) - emea masters playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Grand Final match between Galions and Solary in the EMEA Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Galions" …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I trade Premier League prediction markets from the UK?
Yes. Polymarket has Premier League outcome markets (title winner, relegation, top scorer). For UK traders wanting GBP settlement and UKGC protection, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer Premier League futures and match markets. Betfair is the deepest liquidity venue for UK football exchange markets.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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