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LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

"LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Match Winner 98% Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5) 95% Game 1 Winner 92% Game 2 Winner 92% Volume: $131K Liquidity: $468K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
98% 2% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
98% 2% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner98%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)95%
Game 1 Winner92%
Game 2 Winner92%
Game 3 Winner92%
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)78%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?72%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon68%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?65%
Odd/Even Total Kills64%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?64%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?62%
Game 4 Winner59%
Odd/Even Total Kills55%
First Blood in Game 1?53%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Odd/Even Total Kills52%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Any Player Quadra Kill49%
Any Player Penta Kill49%
Any Player Quadra Kill49%
Any Player Penta Kill49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor47%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?47%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor46%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors46%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors45%
Any Player Penta Kill38%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?32%
O/U 3.5 Games21%
O/U 4.5 Games5%

Market context

LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 98%. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between T1 and FURIA Esports in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 6 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve t…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
and

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