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LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

How the prediction market is pricing "LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Any Player Penta Kill 52% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 52% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 52% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 50% Volume: $167K Liquidity: $406K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Champions League Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
52% 48% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
52% 48% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Game 1 Winner47%
Game 2 Winner47%
Match Winner46%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?39%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?38%
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)30%
First Blood in Game 2?28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)25%

Market context

LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season — current market-implied probability: 52%. This market refers to the LoL match between Vivo Keyd Stars and FURIA Esports in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 1 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vivo Keyd Stars…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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