New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The New York Yankees are in Detroit for a late-June series at Comerica Park, and the market’s 14% YES price implies a sizeable underdog view against a Yankees side that entered the matchup with a 46-30 record, compared with Detroit’s 33-44 mark.[1] That gap matters because short-run moneyline pricing in MLB tends to follow not just season record but also whether a club is carrying regular-order injuries or reduced rotation depth into the night before first pitch.[1][4]

Recent availability news leans into that same split. New York has been tracking Trent Grisham’s hamstring rehab, with Aaron Boone saying he has resumed light on-field agility work, but he remains on the injured list in the live game feed.[2][4] Detroit’s injury list also includes Wenceel Pérez, while Jack Flaherty is listed on the 15-day IL, which can affect both line-up construction and the pitching plan depending on who is active by game time.[1] For traders, the main catalysts are late line-up cards, any scratch to the starting pitcher, and whether the game is pushed back, because the market stays open if the game is merely postponed and only resolves 50-50 if it is cancelled entirely or ends tied.[1]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Champions League Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Champions League Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Champions League Prediction?

Zero. Champions League Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Champions League Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.