Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
83% | 17% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
83% | 17% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Columbus Crew (-1.5) | 83% YES | 18% NO |
| Columbus Crew (-2.5) | 26% YES | 75% NO |
| Atlanta United FC (-2.5) | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 46% YES | 54% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 17% YES | 83% NO |
Market context
Columbus Crew will face Atlanta United FC on 24 May 2026 in an MLS regular-season fixture. The 76% implied probability for "more markets" reflects trader confidence that additional betting lines or market variants will be offered on this matchup, a common occurrence for fixtures involving established MLS franchises with consistent media coverage.
Historical precedent suggests MLS matches between top-six seeded teams or those with significant supporter bases generate secondary markets within 48 hours of kickoff. Columbus and Atlanta both maintain substantial betting liquidity; the Crew averaged 18,500 spectators in 2025, whilst Atlanta drew 40,000+ at home. Previous May fixtures between these sides have consistently attracted multiple derivative markets—player performance props, corner counts, and card accumulations—within the settlement window. The high probability reflects the structural reliability of major MLS broadcasts receiving expanded market offerings rather than uncertainty about the match itself.
Traders should monitor team news releases for squad rotation decisions, particularly given the fixture's mid-season timing and potential fixture congestion. Any late injury announcements to key attacking players (typically released 24–48 hours pre-match) could influence whether sportsbooks expand their offering, as reduced star power sometimes correlates with narrower market availability. Weather conditions at Lower.com Field in Columbus, if severe, may also prompt bookmakers to limit exotic markets. The settlement window closes at 21:00 ET on match day, allowing roughly four hours post-kickoff for final market confirmations.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $185K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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